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Quando finirà il Governo

Francesco Bemporad & Massimo Sandal

Abstract

Abbiamo eseguito il fit lineare della fiducia parlamentare nel governo Berlusconi IV in funzione del tempo. La pendenza di tale dipendenza è negativa (R = -0.791). Possiamo estrapolare come data più probabile della caduta del Governo Berlusconi IV il 29/12/2012 , con un intervallo di confidenza del 75%, tra il 10/9/2012 e il 18/5/2013 -la data di fine governo è il 14/5/2013.

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Quando finirà il Governo

Abstract

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